Ontario Needs 1.5M New Homes By 2031, But Can Construction Keep Up?

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Ontario is already experiencing a shortage of 500,000 homes and will need another 1M to meet the projected population growth. The ability to build this many homes, however, is in question. SP_Inst realestate realestatenews onpoli

Government at all levels has touted the need for 1.5M new homes to be built in Ontario over the next decade to keep up with the province’s growing population, but construction capacity is not currently high enough.from Ottawa-based think tank Smart Prosperity Institute analyzed the province’s 1.5M-home goal, vetting it for accuracy as well as attainability.

Based on existing housing shortages, as well as the projected number of family formations, Smart Prosperity found that of the 1.5M homes needed, nearly half — 48% — need to be built in Peel, York, and Toronto. Peel will need the largest amount of new homes, with 277,000 required by 2031. Hemson, however, estimates that just 102,100 will be built there — a difference of 174,900. Toronto is projected to fall short by 101,200 homes, and York by 91,600 homes.

“Infrastructure and land constraints likely make it impractical for some Census Division to build the number of housing units we estimate are needed for their community,” the report reads. “Of course, suppose those communities build less, spillover demand will occur, requiring a community to build a more substantial number than we have identified to maintain the 1.5M housing unit target.”

If they plan to reach their goal, the report says that substantial changes will need to be made to Ontario’s construction process.

 

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