Economists at three of the nation’s four major banks failed to read the tea leaves when they predicted a year ago that house prices would keep rising in 2022, albeit at a far more pedestrian pace.
Leading the slump was Sydney, which recorded a 12.1 per cent correction to leave the city’s median home value at just over $1 million, while Melbourne home values retreated 8.1 per cent to end the year at $725,000, and on track to wipe out all of their COVID period gains.and others facing the prospect of selling their homes at a loss – was anticipated by any bank economist.
Dr Oliver said he expected house prices to start falling at some point “later” in 2022, followed by a 5-10 per cent decline in 2023. “But much depends on where and when the cash rate peaks,” he said. “If it rises above 4 per cent, there will be no recovery for 2023.”
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