House prices are falling and wages stagnant, but consumers are optimistic

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As Treasury and the RBA warn of a 'sagging' economy, consumers have been buoyed by the prospect of tax relief.

Treasury and the Reserve Bank have warned falling house prices are "sagging" the economy, as languid household consumption forms the sharpest domestic threat just days out from the start of the federal election campaign.

"Sentiment over the course of the week showed a clear boost, with sentiment amongst those surveyed post-budget 7.7 per cent higher than sentiment amongst those surveyed pre-budget," said Westpac economist Bill Evans.Workers who believed they had the most to gain from Tuesday's budget, including those earning more than $80,000 a year, recorded the largest boost in confidence in April, while confidence fell for people earning between $20,000 and $80,000.

"In my view, the main explanation as to why consumption growth has slowed is the low growth in household income, and an increasing expectation that it is likely to remain low," he said at an American Chamber of Commerce lunch in Adelaide on Wednesday. Treasury official Angelia Grant told Senate estimates on Wednesday last week's budget forecasts "are consistent with the housing markets sagging or dragging on the economy" and that steep international downgrades to Australia's economic prospects were significant.. It sliced Australia's growth forecast to just 2.1 per cent this calendar year, short of what was predicted in the budget and well down on the 2.8 per cent the IMF forecast in October.

The comments open the door to sharper falls in Sydney compared to Melbourne, where the RBA believes lower vacancy rates could see it through higher levels of supply.

 

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Consumers better be optimistic as the economy is fucked'😂

let the good times roll

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