by RBC’s assistant chief economist Robert Hogue, published in December, forecasted that the national benchmark price will fall 14% from its 2022 peak by spring. Hogue further stipulated, “it will likely take years to fully reverse the tremendous deterioration that took place since 2021.
“The house inflation is 10 times, therefore the mortgage inflation is 10 times,” he said. “People who have a primary-based mortgage product or HELOC are going to have difficulties with the continued escalation of their payments.” The situation won’t be much better for those who are mortgage shopping. With runaway inflation and high rates bleeding into 2023, both variable and fixed-rate mortgage carriers are expected to remain unattractive for the rest of the year, says Butler.Doing analysis 12 months out is pretty much guesswork although the next 6 months is fairly obviousBut here’s the key: NO PIVOT
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